To get this column sent to your inbox, subscribe to the email newsletter.Profit is the price of staying in business. That's Management 101, а la Peter Drucker. A lot of people skipped that course in the last few years, and now the market is giving them more than detention.
Even Michael Cowpland, who has been allowed to drive Corel wherever seemed good at the time, finally got pushed out of his own personal research laboratory. Mr. Cowpland probably would have topped the polls as the worst CEO in high-tech for several years running, so it's a real sign of trouble that he's gone. Wall Street rewarded long-suffering shareholders by driving up the company's stock, although Corel without Cowpland may just be a bad company without a whipping boy.
Unfortunately for the Linux business, Cowpland wasn't around early enough to become its whipping boy. Despite a buoyant Linuxworld, most of the Linux stocks remained in the tank. But Transmeta's initial public offering might change that.
It didn't hurt Linux to have Michael
Dell as a keynoter at Linuxworld. Mr. Dell is a phenom, a rare geek who figured out how to run a company (hired other smart people, and then listened to them). But even Mr. Dell faces problems. A company can only double in size annually for so long, and then what do you do? Wall Street's waiting for the answer, and it seems to think
Dell Computer's long-time rival,
Gateway, might be a few steps ahead of it.
Meanwhile, Wall Street continues to take Jeff Bezos to school.
Amazon.com's CEO played Tony the Tiger in a
Red Herring interview, saying everything is grrrreeeat! But this week saw Amazon investments like living.com, Kozmo.com, and Wineshopper.com go through troubles ranging from layoffs to death. It turns out that Amazon already has been accounting for the losses in some of its investments (an interesting twist on the "failure to plan equals planning to fail" maxim), so big write-offs don't appear likely to further crush its bottom line. But still, I think Mr. B ought to go to the whiteboard and write 1,000 times: "We will not continue to lose money, we will not continue to lose money...."
Nobody's saying Amazon is going to go the way of, say, Value America, which filed for bankruptcy this week. Unfortunately, bankruptcy isn't exactly summer school, and Value America likely won't be the last publicly traded dot com to go there (free Internet service providers, for instance, could be headed there next). Perhaps they can find some solace in the continued existence of
Marvel Entertainment. Marvel, the superhero of bankruptcy, if there can be such a thing, now has plans to distribute
Spider-Man and the rest of the superhero gang via cell phones. Call me when
Nokia starts shipping mobile phones with color screens.
Private companies continue to get tutoring from the markets as well.
MXG Media, the much-hyped teen retailer, went through layoffs this week. But if they can learn from their mistakes, the market might reward them. After all,
PeoplePC managed to go public. But then investors immediately drove its stock down below the offering price. Wall Street's certainly learning.
Companies are learning, too. There might not be 3 Rs for improving shareholder value, but if there were, they'd include layoffs and spin-offs. Econets like
CMGI are looking at the former, whereas
Novell appears serious about pursuing the latter course at some point in the next couple of months. Pasting your numbers is the good old-fashioned way of increasing shareholder value, although analysts were unclear on just how much pasting
Hewlett-Packard did this week.
For venture capitalists, watching the markets is always an education. One of the big lessons seems to be: Invest in biotech. Accordingly,
IBM decided to spend $100 million on various bioinformatics investments, and
Intermune Pharmaceuticals pulled down some serious money. But biotech investing in general is drawing a lot of cash. Of course, lots of cash is sometimes a bad thing. Witness the German 3G license auction. Will any of those companies ever make money?
The markets themselves are in the process of learning new tricks, as well, especially because the Securities and Exchange Commission is insisting that companies start disclosing information to all investors, not just a few Wall Street analysts. Soon we can all be on the Wall Street scene, getting all the crass jokes first and listening to chief financial officers drone on about EBITDA and other topics. Why, it's just like being back in the lecture hall!
Of course, if you're a high-level
Cisco Systems executive, you get lengthy vacations as it is. Given Cisco's market cap, maybe there's something to this strategy. Hey boss, can I have the rest of the summer off?
THE WEEK AHEAD
The Redherring.com debate team's topic for next week: Does
Santa Cruz Operation still matter enough for us to attend its Forum? We're all agreed, though, that the Progress and Freedom Foundation's
cyber spin-off to the Aspen Institute is on the agenda.
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