The apparent collapse of municipally-supported plans to
build WiFi networks in several U.S.
cities has backers of rival technologies breathing sighs of relief.
The prospect of having municipal governments as
competitors in the most lucrative urban markets could significantly reduce
demand for commercial wireless data services based on rival technologies such
as WiMAX and EV-DO, said Joe Nordgaard, director of wireless consulting firm
Spectral Advantage.
“Private enterprise cannot muster the same kind of
financial resources and forgo losses like the government can,” he said. “Muni
WiFi undermined private enterprise and I am sure there are a lot of people
involved with WiMAX, EV-DO, etcetera, who are happy to see it go,” he said.
One such person is Eran Ershed co-founder and VP of
marketing for WiMAX chip-maker Altair Semiconductor.
“This may be bad news for the companies that supply mesh
WiFi equipment to municipalities, but for most others competing with the
government is not a great proposition,” he said. “The government has different
ROI goals.”
WiFi is one of several wireless technologies capable of carry
high-speed data. Rivals include so-called EDGE technology, a long-range
cellular data service being rolled out by AT&T and T-Mobile, and similar
service known as EV-DO that is backed by Verizon Wireless, Sprint Nextel, and
Alltel. WiMAX is an emerging very-long-range wireless broadband service being
built by Clearwire and Sprint.
Atlanta-based Internet service provider EarthLink last
week pulled back from plans to build, manage, and maintain mesh-WiFi networks
in San Francisco and Houston. The company had originally agreed to
pay for the construction of the networks and recoup its investment by charging
users.
When it became clear to the firm that it had overreached,
EarthLink attempted to amend the deals to share some of the cost with the
municipalities. The cities reportedly refused.
A number of other municipal governments including Chicago, St. Petersburg, Florida and Alexandria and
Arlington, Virginia, decided to shelve plans to build
similar WiFi networks.
Those developments prompted some observers to suggest the
concept of city-wide WiFi networks may have been doomed from the start because
the so-called meshing equipment needed to transform WiFi from a short-range
wireless technology into one capable of blanketing an entire city is too
expensive.
“Meshing was originally designed as a military
communications application used in open fields,” Mr. Nordgaard said. “When you
are routing in a city, you don’t have a whole lot of options, and that becomes
complex and expensive, as EarthLink found out.”
But not everyone agrees that
muni WiFi is at death’s door.
“I think muni WiFi is evolving
and the various players in the market are rethinking the business model,” said
Sally Cohen, an analyst with Forrester Research. “There is still a viable muni
WiFi business model that involves city agencies as anchor tenants and
commitments from local businesses. But I don’t think that this is the end for
muni WiFi.”